MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS INC (MPWR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $637.6M (+2.6% q/q; +39.2% y/y) and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $4.04; both were modest beats vs S&P Global consensus ($633.4M revenue; $4.00 EPS). Strength came from Storage & Computing (+38% q/q), while Enterprise Data declined sequentially with ramps expected in 2H25 . Estimates data marked with asterisks below are from S&P Global.
- Q2 2025 guidance: revenue $640–$660M, GAAP GM 54.9–55.5% (non-GAAP 55.2–55.8%) and GAAP opex $189–$195M; gross margin midpoint down ~20 bps on mix conservatism, not tariffs or pricing .
- Cash generation was strong (OCF $256.4M), cash and short-term investments rose to $1.03B; inventories increased (146 days on current-quarter revenue), positioning MPS to support ramps .
- Management emphasized broad-based design-win momentum (AI/data center, notebooks/memory, auto) and reiterated the shift from chip supplier to silicon-based solutions provider; 400V rack-power modules are sampling now with material revenue expected in 2026 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record revenue $637.6M; Storage & Computing up 38.1% q/q on strong memory and notebook demand; Automotive up 12.9% q/q (third straight quarter of double-digit sequential growth) .
- Non-GAAP gross margin held 55.7% (flat y/y), and non-GAAP operating margin 34.7% (up 1.6 pts y/y); broad-based execution across markets .
- “Our proven, long-term growth strategy remains intact as we continue our transformation from being a chip-only, semiconductor supplier to a full service, silicon-based solutions provider,” said CEO Michael Hsing .
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What Went Wrong
- Enterprise Data fell 31.8% q/q and 11.2% y/y; ramps are expected in 2H but timing remains outside MPS’s control .
- Q2 gross margin guided down ~20 bps at midpoint due to product mix; management explicitly said no direct tariff or demand impact is assumed in the Q2 guide .
- Inventory days rose to 146 (current-quarter basis) and 143 on next-quarter basis, up sequentially; non-GAAP operating expenses increased q/q and are guided higher in Q2 .
Financial Results
Segment revenue (end markets)
Key operating/BS KPIs
Non-GAAP adjustments (Q1 2025)
- Stock-based comp and related: $53.8M; amortization: $0.3M; deferred comp plan (income): $0.006M; tax effect: $5.9M .
Guidance Changes
Note: The Q2 2025 GM midpoint is ~20 bps lower q/q due to mix conservatism (not tariffs/pricing) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO strategic framing: “Our proven, long-term growth strategy remains intact as we continue our transformation from being a chip-only, semiconductor supplier to a full service, silicon-based solutions provider.” — Michael Hsing .
- Data center ramps: “We continue to win designs across all major enterprise data customers with revenue ramps expected in the second half of this year.” — Bernie Blegen .
- Gross margin outlook: “There’s not a specific event…we’re just being basically 20 basis points more conservative [on Q2 GM].” — Bernie Blegen .
- Tariffs: “No to both” (no direct unit cost/price or demand impact influencing Q2 guidance). — Bernie Blegen .
- Rack-power modules: Samples now; material revenue expected in 2026. — Michael Hsing .
Q&A Highlights
- Enterprise Data visibility: Management sees broader qualifications/design wins across multiple customers, but ramp timing is outside their control; confidence improved versus 90 days ago with 2H weighting .
- Gross margin guide: Slightly lower Q2 midpoint due to mix; management intends to operate within its model; no tariff-related headwind implied .
- Storage & Computing strength: +38% q/q driven by DDR5, SSD/HDD, and notebooks/desktop CPUs; not solely seasonality; multiple drivers including AI PC and Windows 10 transition .
- Automotive content: Early shipments into 48V/800V; expect more in 2026–27; 2H25 momentum driven by past design wins in NA/EU .
- Supply chain/inventory: Targeting 180–200 days internal inventory; channel lean; lead times holding; flexibility to support ramps .
Estimates Context
Actuals vs S&P Global consensus
Q1 2025 modest beat: revenue +$4.1M vs consensus; EPS +$0.04 vs consensus. Prior quarters also beat on both revenue and EPS, establishing positive estimate surprise momentum into 2025. Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broad-based growth with record revenue and stable mid-55% gross margins; Storage & Computing is the near-term engine while Enterprise Data is a 2H25 story .
- Q2 guide is balanced (revenue $640–$660M) with conservative GM mix; no tariff shock contemplated, reducing macro headline risk near term .
- Strong cash generation and rising liquidity ($1.03B cash+ST investments) support continued R&D and capacity readiness ahead of ramps; inventory build appears intentional to meet short lead-time customers .
- Automotive remains a content-driven growth vector; 48V/800V transitions skew to 2026–2027, underpinning medium-term visibility .
- AI data center opportunity broadens beyond a single hyperscaler; management sees significant content opportunities and is advancing modules (400V rack power) with material revenue in 2026 .
- Watch for 2H Enterprise Data ramps and updates on module commercialization; these are likely the next stock catalysts alongside sustained Storage & Computing strength .
- Expense discipline matters: non-GAAP opex is trending up into Q2; maintaining operating leverage will be key if Enterprise Data ramps slip .
Appendix: Additional Details and Reconciliations
- Q1 2025 non-GAAP metrics exclude $53.8M SBC and related, $0.3M amortization, and $5.9M tax effects; non-GAAP GM 55.7% and non-GAAP operating income $221.5M .
- Segment sequential changes (Q1 2025 vs Q4 2024): Storage & Computing +38.1%, Automotive +12.9%, Communications +12.3%, Industrial +4.3%, Consumer -0.6%, Enterprise Data -31.8% .
- Q2 2025 guidance details include OI&E $6.2–$6.6M (pre-FX), non-GAAP tax rate 15%, FDSO 47.9–48.3M .
Notes on sources: Company press release (8-K Exhibit 99.1), CFO commentary (8-K Exhibit 99.2), and Q1 2025 earnings call transcript were used for facts and quotes. All consensus estimate figures marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.