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MONOLITHIC POWER SYSTEMS INC (MPWR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 revenue was $637.6M (+2.6% q/q; +39.2% y/y) and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $4.04; both were modest beats vs S&P Global consensus ($633.4M revenue; $4.00 EPS). Strength came from Storage & Computing (+38% q/q), while Enterprise Data declined sequentially with ramps expected in 2H25 . Estimates data marked with asterisks below are from S&P Global.
  • Q2 2025 guidance: revenue $640–$660M, GAAP GM 54.9–55.5% (non-GAAP 55.2–55.8%) and GAAP opex $189–$195M; gross margin midpoint down ~20 bps on mix conservatism, not tariffs or pricing .
  • Cash generation was strong (OCF $256.4M), cash and short-term investments rose to $1.03B; inventories increased (146 days on current-quarter revenue), positioning MPS to support ramps .
  • Management emphasized broad-based design-win momentum (AI/data center, notebooks/memory, auto) and reiterated the shift from chip supplier to silicon-based solutions provider; 400V rack-power modules are sampling now with material revenue expected in 2026 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record revenue $637.6M; Storage & Computing up 38.1% q/q on strong memory and notebook demand; Automotive up 12.9% q/q (third straight quarter of double-digit sequential growth) .
    • Non-GAAP gross margin held 55.7% (flat y/y), and non-GAAP operating margin 34.7% (up 1.6 pts y/y); broad-based execution across markets .
    • “Our proven, long-term growth strategy remains intact as we continue our transformation from being a chip-only, semiconductor supplier to a full service, silicon-based solutions provider,” said CEO Michael Hsing .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Enterprise Data fell 31.8% q/q and 11.2% y/y; ramps are expected in 2H but timing remains outside MPS’s control .
    • Q2 gross margin guided down ~20 bps at midpoint due to product mix; management explicitly said no direct tariff or demand impact is assumed in the Q2 guide .
    • Inventory days rose to 146 (current-quarter basis) and 143 on next-quarter basis, up sequentially; non-GAAP operating expenses increased q/q and are guided higher in Q2 .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($M)$457.9 $621.7 $637.6
GAAP Gross Margin %55.1% 55.4% 55.4%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %55.7% 55.8% 55.7%
GAAP Operating Expenses ($M)$157.0 $181.1 $184.5
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses ($M)$103.4 $126.1 $133.5
GAAP Operating Margin %20.9% 26.3% 26.5%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin %33.1% 35.5% 34.7%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.89 $29.88 (tax benefit) $2.79
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$2.81 $4.09 $4.04
Cash + ST Investments ($B)$1.29 $0.86 $1.03

Segment revenue (end markets)

End Market ($M)Q1 2024Q1 2025YoY %
Storage & Computing$106.1 $188.5 +77.7%
Automotive$87.1 $144.9 +66.4%
Enterprise Data$149.7 $132.9 -11.2%
Communications$46.7 $71.7 +53.7%
Consumer$38.1 $56.9 +49.3%
Industrial$30.2 $42.6 +41.1%
Total$457.9 $637.6 +39.2%

Key operating/BS KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$248.0 $167.7 $256.4
DSO (days)39 25 31
Internal Inventories ($M)$396.0 $419.6 $454.8
Days of Inventory (current qtr rev basis)175 138 146
Cash + ST Investments ($M)$1,286.4 $862.9 $1,026.7

Non-GAAP adjustments (Q1 2025)

  • Stock-based comp and related: $53.8M; amortization: $0.3M; deferred comp plan (income): $0.006M; tax effect: $5.9M .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ1 2025$610–$630M (2/6/25) $630–$640M (3/20/25) Raised
GAAP Gross MarginQ1 202555.1–55.7%
Non-GAAP Gross MarginQ1 202555.4–56.0%
GAAP OpExQ1 2025$180.2–$186.2M $184.9–$190.9M Raised
Non-GAAP OpExQ1 2025$126.9–$130.9M $131.6–$135.6M Raised
OI&E (pre-FX)Q1 2025$5.8–$6.2M
Non-GAAP Tax RateFY 202515% 15% Maintained
Diluted SharesQ1 202547.8–48.2M
RevenueQ2 2025$640–$660M New
GAAP Gross MarginQ2 202554.9–55.5% New
Non-GAAP Gross MarginQ2 202555.2–55.8% New
GAAP OpExQ2 2025$189–$195M New
Non-GAAP OpExQ2 2025$132.6–$136.6M New
OI&E (pre-FX)Q2 2025$6.2–$6.6M New
Non-GAAP Tax RateFY 202515% New
Diluted SharesQ2 202547.9–48.3M New
DividendQ1 2025$1.25 priorIncreased to $1.56/sh; paid Apr 15, 2025 (record Mar 31, 2025) Raised

Note: The Q2 2025 GM midpoint is ~20 bps lower q/q due to mix conservatism (not tariffs/pricing) .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2: Q3 2024; Q-1: Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
AI / Enterprise DataStrong y/y growth in Q3; Enterprise Data $184.5M Q3; Q4 Enterprise Data $194.9M (largest end market) Enterprise Data $132.9M; design wins/qualifications across major customers; ramps expected 2H25 Near-term softness; growing 2H visibility
Storage & Computing$144.0M in Q3; $136.5M in Q4 $188.5M (+38% q/q) on memory and notebook strength Accelerating on multiple drivers (DDR5, notebooks, AI PC)
Automotive$111.3M Q3; $128.3M Q4 $144.9M (+12.9% q/q); content ramps, 48V and 800V transitions to benefit 2026–27 Consistent sequential growth; content story
Gross MarginGAAP GM 55.4% in Q3; 55.4% in Q4; non-GAAP GM ~55.8% GAAP GM 55.4%; non-GAAP 55.7%; Q2 guide slight down on mix Stable at mid-55s; conservative Q2 mix
Supply chain / TariffsDiversification ongoing; no specific tariff effects cited in PRs Long-running geographic diversification; “No” to direct tariff demand/cost in Q2 guide Resilient; limited tariff impact
Inventory & Lead TimesInventory normalized through 2024 Internal inventory up; model target 180–200 days; channel lean; lead times stable Building buffers ahead of ramps

Management Commentary

  • CEO strategic framing: “Our proven, long-term growth strategy remains intact as we continue our transformation from being a chip-only, semiconductor supplier to a full service, silicon-based solutions provider.” — Michael Hsing .
  • Data center ramps: “We continue to win designs across all major enterprise data customers with revenue ramps expected in the second half of this year.” — Bernie Blegen .
  • Gross margin outlook: “There’s not a specific event…we’re just being basically 20 basis points more conservative [on Q2 GM].” — Bernie Blegen .
  • Tariffs: “No to both” (no direct unit cost/price or demand impact influencing Q2 guidance). — Bernie Blegen .
  • Rack-power modules: Samples now; material revenue expected in 2026. — Michael Hsing .

Q&A Highlights

  • Enterprise Data visibility: Management sees broader qualifications/design wins across multiple customers, but ramp timing is outside their control; confidence improved versus 90 days ago with 2H weighting .
  • Gross margin guide: Slightly lower Q2 midpoint due to mix; management intends to operate within its model; no tariff-related headwind implied .
  • Storage & Computing strength: +38% q/q driven by DDR5, SSD/HDD, and notebooks/desktop CPUs; not solely seasonality; multiple drivers including AI PC and Windows 10 transition .
  • Automotive content: Early shipments into 48V/800V; expect more in 2026–27; 2H25 momentum driven by past design wins in NA/EU .
  • Supply chain/inventory: Targeting 180–200 days internal inventory; channel lean; lead times holding; flexibility to support ramps .

Estimates Context

Actuals vs S&P Global consensus

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($M) – Actual$457.9 $621.7 $637.6
Revenue ($M) – Consensus$445.0*$608.1*$633.4*
EPS (non-GAAP) – Actual$2.81 $4.09 $4.04
EPS (non-GAAP) – Consensus$2.64*$3.98*$4.00*
# of EPS Estimates14*14*15*
# of Revenue Estimates14*15*15*

Q1 2025 modest beat: revenue +$4.1M vs consensus; EPS +$0.04 vs consensus. Prior quarters also beat on both revenue and EPS, establishing positive estimate surprise momentum into 2025. Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Broad-based growth with record revenue and stable mid-55% gross margins; Storage & Computing is the near-term engine while Enterprise Data is a 2H25 story .
  • Q2 guide is balanced (revenue $640–$660M) with conservative GM mix; no tariff shock contemplated, reducing macro headline risk near term .
  • Strong cash generation and rising liquidity ($1.03B cash+ST investments) support continued R&D and capacity readiness ahead of ramps; inventory build appears intentional to meet short lead-time customers .
  • Automotive remains a content-driven growth vector; 48V/800V transitions skew to 2026–2027, underpinning medium-term visibility .
  • AI data center opportunity broadens beyond a single hyperscaler; management sees significant content opportunities and is advancing modules (400V rack power) with material revenue in 2026 .
  • Watch for 2H Enterprise Data ramps and updates on module commercialization; these are likely the next stock catalysts alongside sustained Storage & Computing strength .
  • Expense discipline matters: non-GAAP opex is trending up into Q2; maintaining operating leverage will be key if Enterprise Data ramps slip .

Appendix: Additional Details and Reconciliations

  • Q1 2025 non-GAAP metrics exclude $53.8M SBC and related, $0.3M amortization, and $5.9M tax effects; non-GAAP GM 55.7% and non-GAAP operating income $221.5M .
  • Segment sequential changes (Q1 2025 vs Q4 2024): Storage & Computing +38.1%, Automotive +12.9%, Communications +12.3%, Industrial +4.3%, Consumer -0.6%, Enterprise Data -31.8% .
  • Q2 2025 guidance details include OI&E $6.2–$6.6M (pre-FX), non-GAAP tax rate 15%, FDSO 47.9–48.3M .

Notes on sources: Company press release (8-K Exhibit 99.1), CFO commentary (8-K Exhibit 99.2), and Q1 2025 earnings call transcript were used for facts and quotes. All consensus estimate figures marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.